[NL2-NL10] NL 100 AKo

    • RahXephon1
      RahXephon1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2009 Posts: 972
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $7.80
      SB:
      $11.50
      BB(Hero):
      $20.00
      UTG2:
      $20.00
      MP1:
      $81.95
      MP2:
      $57.90
      MP3:
      $19.90
      CO:
      $25.45


      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A.
      UTG2 folds, MP1 calls $1.00, MP2 raises to $4.50, 3 folds, SB raises to $8.00, Hero raises to $20.00, 2 folds, SB calls $3.50.

      Flop: ($37) 9, 8, 9 (0 players)
      SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Turn: ($37) 7 (0 players)
      SB gets uncalled bet back.

      River: ($37) 4 (0 players)
      SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $33.5.


      I probably should have folded here I must assume villain is doing it with ak/jj+ since they both have fishy 25/10 stats.
  • 2 replies
    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Hi,

      Have you noticed SB's small stack of $11.5? IF MP1 and MP2 are folding it would mean the following:

      Using the following formula (correctly?):
      EV = Pot*Foldequity + (1-Foldequity)[(eff.Stack+Deadmoney)*Equity – ((eff.Stack-Blind)*(1-Equity))]

      With zero FEQ than you need ~40% EQ. (I dont believe SB is going to fold with $3.5 left.)
      I don't have the equilator here but I think you will have that with AK against JJ+/AK

      But without knowing if MP1 and MP2 will fold it seems not ok to me. Mid stacks and fishy stats call light... but then again, could also be in our favorite.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      No statistics on 100NL?

      I should not be worried about SB's 3bet range since he is short, therefore if you win the side pot, you are more or less breakeven as well so I primarily focus on Mp2 tendencies

      Therefore AK is in my opinion a hand worth shoving. $57.9 as stack doesn't really indicate a good player

      Best regards,
      Gerv