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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH ATs in BB facing steal

    • gavinonymous
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,146
      Villain is a tag, playing mostly position, stealing twice in 10 hands.

      CO: $28.85
      BTN: $31.05
      SB: $25.00
      Hero (BB): $25.00
      UTG: $15.00
      MP: $22.60

      UTG posts a big blind ($0.25)

      Pre Flop: ($0.60) Hero is BB with T:diamond: A:diamond:
      UTG checks, 2 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, BTN raises to $8, Hero raises to $25 all in

      After his 8$ bet, do I give myself the right odds to push against his range (assuming it's not AA?) I could have just called pf, but I liked this better based on my reads (no stats at the time)

      How do I calculate this? I assumed I had little or no FE after his 4bet.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      3-bet is fine, but you should have fold equity, since your overall equity against TT+/AK is 30%
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 30.246% 29.28% 00.97% 18048249 596154.00 { AdTd }
      Hand 1: 69.754% 68.79% 00.97% 42402387 596154.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }
      and since you´re only invested pot 3,5$ then I prefer fold than shove