[NL2-NL10] Nl50 99

    • JonatanW
      JonatanW
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 71
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($23.39)
      Hero ($13.20)
      UTG ($22.82)
      UTG+1 ($12.82)
      UTG+2 ($25.92)
      MP1 ($10)
      CO ($105)
      BTN ($49.64)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:heart:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1.50, fold, fold, BTN calls $1.50, fold, Hero raises to $13.20 (AI), fold, BTN calls $11.70

      FLOP ($28.15) Q:club: 8:heart: 3:club:

      TURN ($28.15) Q:club: 8:heart: 3:club: A:diamond:

      RIVER ($28.15) Q:club: 8:heart: 3:club: A:diamond: 5:diamond:


      BTN wins $26.75

      UTG+2 16/9
      BTN 16/13

      Looking back I think that initial raiser has to be MP3/CO in order to make this move, ?
  • 5 replies
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      I think this squeeze was a bit too much here. You have an increased stack and opponents are not that loose, besides its an Early position raise.

      Have you got positional stats on UTG2 and a large sample? that could make some difference.

      It's a good idea to try estimating UTG's opening range and 3bet calling range and make some calculations so you can get a good feel for these situations ;)
    • noclaninator
      noclaninator
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.12.2008 Posts: 312
      In order for a move like this to be profitable, he'd have to be raising like AT+ 66+ KQ which is pretty loose. More likely he is raising AQ+ TT+ so easy fold.
    • Ishindar
      Ishindar
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.12.2008 Posts: 259
      u need AQs,TT+ to squeeze here and usually be ahead of both their ranges
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by dandycal
      I think this squeeze was a bit too much here. You have an increased stack and opponents are not that loose, besides its an Early position raise.

      Have you got positional stats on UTG2 and a large sample? that could make some difference.

      It's a good idea to try estimating UTG's opening range and 3bet calling range and make some calculations so you can get a good feel for these situations ;)
      I agree with dandycal because then you can make your squeezerange.
      I dislike assuming a standard sqz range since every scenario is unique

      - Gerv
    • hammiemon85
      hammiemon85
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.09.2008 Posts: 116
      All depends on how loose/aggressive UTG+2 plays.

      If you think 99 is ahead of his range, then push.

      I'd pretty much ignore the BU in this spot, unless that cold-call is a very odd play for him (like he usually 3-bet's super light, but suddenly slows down) then he might be slowplaying a monster.