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[NL20-NL50] NL50SH KK vs river overbet

    • GrantJennings
      GrantJennings
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.07.2008 Posts: 232
      If I wasn't so confused by this river bet, I'd think it was a clear fold. It just doesn't look like a trips valuebet to me, but more like the busted flushdraw buying the pot... or is my imagination getting the better of me too many times for a call to be +ev here?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $128.10
      BB:
      $63.60
      MP2:
      $47.00
      MP3:
      $69.85
      CO:
      $70.85
      BU(Hero):
      $90.10


      Preflop: Hero is BU with K, K.
      MP2 calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, 2 folds, MP2 calls $2.00.

      Flop: ($5.75) Q, A, 8 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $3.50, MP2 raises to $7.00, Hero calls $3.50.

      Turn: ($19.75) A (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($19.75) 5 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $20.00, Hero ???.
  • 2 replies
    • Dragar
      Dragar
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.09.2008 Posts: 2,214
      Flop bet higher... 4.8-5$ please, then its very easy fold to a c/r.
      I mentioned earlier that in another hand that a flop bet like this will induce raises, especially on this limit.

      River very tough but folding is alright I think, situation would be easier if flop would be bet higher since he cannot c/r with flush draw then or with the Q.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think this board is not terrible to check back especially when player is aggressive
      You can b/f turn, which imo is ok line and then hope for free showdown
      If you check back then I´d call river bet, since I think he is bluffing there enough with busted flushdraws. But if you are not sure about your read, fold is also ok.