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[NL20-NL50] 25$NL, do I lose value on river with a set?

    • xnyk
      Joined: 04.06.2009 Posts: 29
      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 2, 2.
      2 folds, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, SB folds, BB calls $1.00, CO calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($3.85) 5, 7, A (3 players)
      BB checks, CO bets $1.83, Hero raises to $4.00, BB calls $4.00, CO folds.

      Turn: ($13.68) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($13.68) J (2 players)
      BB bets $9.75, Hero calls $9.75.

      Final Pot: $33.18.

      BB is:
      WTSD 61% (23)
      W$SD 50% (14)
      3bet 3%

      CO is bad:
      He is donking a lot: 31% (26) and often as a bluff, folding to raise.

      My plan on flop was to represent that ace and give up to any resistance. As I wrote, I was not worried about the CO much, and I put BB on some pockets or SC which he should be probably folding most of the time.

      Turn is great, of course. I'm checking behind to let SB bluff the river. Was it better to bet it? Question is whether shoving river is better or not. I guess he's folding to reraise everything which I beat. Maybe AJ calls.

      What do you think?
  • 2 replies
    • gummybeared
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 138
      two hands that beat you 55 and 77.
      can't see BB coldcalling BTN raise w AA from BB.
      i don't really like turn check.

      bb calling the raise on the flop seems like screaming 55/77.
      calling the river isn't that bad, but meh. dunno. i'd def bet the turn.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think BB can also had there Ax hand, that he´d call turn and sometimes your river bet
      I'd also b/c turn, if you checked back, thinking you´re beat then only calling river is fine line