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[NL2-NL10] SSS NL2K - 66 & 2nd barrell

    • theperni
      Joined: 28.08.2007 Posts: 4,346
      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Replay della mano

      $10/$20 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed) Known players:

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 6, 6.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $50.00, 3 folds, BU calls $50.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($130) 8, 9, 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $80.00, BU calls $80.00.

      Turn: ($290) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $160.00, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $290.

      Opp. 29/14, FCbet 50%, AF 3.0 (Bet in pos. 80%) WTS 24% 130hands
  • 4 replies
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I was thinking about c/R turn if he bets 80% on the Turn with a AF of 3 + a AFq of >25% at least

      AF = invalid with 130 hands regardless whether it is averaged or per street ;)
    • ysessa
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      add your thoughts what are the advantages of betting or checking on nl600+ you should add some considerations
    • theperni
      Joined: 28.08.2007 Posts: 4,346
      He has loose stats so I’m quite ahead on this flop.
      Checking is not the best choice to protect my weak hand and but can maximize my FE against some hands like JT, J9-T9, A8,67, T7 that would probably raise my cbet (I have to fold if my cbet is raised here). Also I’d maximize my loss against set/2pairs/ A9o.
      After his call on the flop I’m pretty sure he has draws (gutshot + OCs like QT, some weak OESD), or OCs, middle pairs (8x, 55,77) also some slowplay…all hands he’s trying to float me with.
      This means I’m ahead most of the time but with a marginal advantage and I have FE vs his medium made hands (8x, 77), so a 2nd barrel can work good here (maybe better than c/r? Your opinion?)
      @ Gerv: what about your AF explanation? Can you tell me more?
    • ysessa
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      since iam most likely ahead on this flop i bet 90 and shove the turn. i dont want to try check raise turn because sometimes he will check behind 6-10 outs and draw for free, sometimes he will call a draw on the turn.. i think it has more ev to shove directly.