[NL2-NL10] NL50, AJo

    • jenoc
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Opponent is 76/30/6.0 wtsd=39% only 37 hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($27.60)
      UTG ($22.20)
      UTG+1 ($30.35)
      Hero ($9.25)
      CO ($50)
      BTN ($29.15)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, fold, SB calls $1.50, fold

      FLOP ($4) Q:club: 8:spade: K:club:

      SB bets $8.25 (AI), Hero ?

      I can give myself 7-8 outs, but I could as well be ahead against this opponent or 50:50 against some random draws. Would you call this?
  • 2 replies
    • delete461
      Joined: 04.07.2008 Posts: 1,036
      I would fold this since you are being asked for 5/6 of your stack - if you see him shoving like this a few times wait till you hit a high pair and stack him
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey jenoc,

      villain gives you very bad pot odds. Calling depends mostly on the question whether he is capable of bluffing, if the answer is yes, then I call, but if he has a draw or some 1-pair+ hands then it's better to muck.

      So, I would look at his donkbet stat or if you saw any of the hands he played before and saw him bluffing or if did you get some other read about his donking range.

      If you are not sure what he's capable of donk shoving then I muck this hand.