[NL2-NL10] AK call river?

    • peche025
      Joined: 14.12.2008 Posts: 1,387
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      SB ($11.08)
      BB ($10.60)
      UTG ($10)
      MP ($2.10)
      Hero (Button) ($10.30)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with K, A
      1 fold, MP bets $0.35, Hero raises to $1.10, 1 fold, BB calls $1, 1 fold

      Flop: ($2.60) 7, 2, J (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.70, BB calls $1.70

      Turn: ($6) 10 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($6) A (2 players)
      BB bets $4, Hero calls $4

      Total pot: $14 | Rake: $0.93

      Villian is 16/11 3.0 from 63 hands, he seems a straight forward TAG. I don't really see the A improving his hand unless he also holds AK. Can I really fold the river?

      Villian unfortunately flipped 10 10 for a lucky set on the turn.
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I don't hate the call since it's nl10 and 16/11/3 after 61 hands aren't conclusive stats. Once you know he really is some kind of nitty tag this becomes more of a fold for the same reasons i discussed here

      NL5 FR TT and queen on turn

      He has no real reason to bluff the river, and he's not good enough to valuebet a worse hand. Maybe he can valuebet AQ but he'd have to have floated the flop out of position with AQ-high, unlikely from a nit.

      Hope it helps.