[NL20-NL50] NL50 TT, set, how much to bet on the river?

    • AthleticAZ
      AthleticAZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.09.2009 Posts: 18
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $67.30
      CO(Hero):
      $94.25
      BU:
      $32.60
      SB:
      $26.20
      BB:
      $60.35


      Preflop: Hero is CO with T, T.
      MP3 folds, Hero raises to $2.00, BU folds, SB calls $1.75, BB folds.

      Flop: ($4.5) 6, 8, T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, SB calls $3.00.

      Turn: ($10.5) Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $7.00, SB calls $7.00.

      River: ($24.5) 2 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $82.25(All-In), SB folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $24.5.


      I have really nothing to say about pre-flop, flop, turn ... value, value, value.
      I put calling station (70/0 from 11 hands) on a diamond draw - clearly after turn call.
      Easy question, how much do you suggest to bet on the river.
      should I pot it or bet very small under 1/3 pot? How much he is calling with busted draw usually?
  • 4 replies
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      should I pot it or bet very small under 1/3 pot?
      -> Just bet half pot 12$ as value bet.
      How much he is calling with busted draw usually?
      -> Are you serious? I'm calling not a single cent with a busted draw.

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • AthleticAZ
      AthleticAZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.09.2009 Posts: 18
      Originally posted by AninIII
      Hi,

      should I pot it or bet very small under 1/3 pot?
      -> Just bet half pot 12$ as value bet.
      How much he is calling with busted draw usually?
      -> Are you serious? I'm calling not a single cent with a busted draw.

      Best regards,
      Anin
      I mean calling with A or K high for 2$ or smthg? It is like 11:1 odds.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello,

      If he is such a fish then just make the bets bigger and you can easily shove river.

      Best regards,
      Rensu
    • maya1984
      maya1984
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,741
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello,

      If he is such a fish then just make the bets bigger and you can easily shove river.

      Best regards,
      Rensu
      +1

      Against this type of player we will get our value from is draws, meaning we usually have two streets of value since he likely just c/f a busted draw on the river.
      The calling station type will call your bets regrdless on how big they are, he doesn't care about pot odds. Only thing that usually matter to him is caching is draw.
      We can exploit those players by betting bigger along the way.

      I'd shove river for value too since he can still call you with Tx and Qx (FD are only part of his range.)

      good luck