[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR AA, Drawy board, stick it in?

    • Janusrichmond
      Joined: 28.07.2009 Posts: 2,432
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Spela upp hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A.
      UTG1 folds, UTG2 calls $0.05, MP1 calls $0.05, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.05, CO folds, BU calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.35, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($1) 8, 5, 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.80, MP1 calls $0.80.

      Turn: ($2.6) 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.75, MP1 calls $3.75.

      River: ($10.1) J (2 players)

      Final Pot: $10.1.
      Results follow:

      MP1 shows three of a kind, sevens(7 7).
      Hero shows a pair of aces(A A).

      MP1 wins with three of a kind, sevens(7 7).

      My question is if it´s correct to put the money in on turn? I think a smaller bet would have made me comitted anyway and I want to protect against draws, I find it unlikely that my opponent is holding a six but he could be on a set but should I be afraid of that? Did my opponent get odds enought to call for setvalue? (ofcourse they make it anyway on NL5 but fun to now)
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510


      If he's some sort of tag you're like never good on the turn since TT+ aren't in his range for over-limping preflop. Unless maybe he has one of the 3 JTs out there. So i wouldn't even mind check/folding. Well i would mind actually, but i'd do it anyway.

      Otherwise we can likely convince ourselves that a random nl5 player will show up with enough draws / pair+draw / 9x / maybe overpairs in that spot to not make shoving horrible. We're still not happy about it at all, but giving up and being wrong would be sort of a disaster equity-wise, so we're just jamming hoping for the best.

      Hope it helps.