[NL2-NL10] nl 100 AJ

    • dchcxh
      dchcxh
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.08.2008 Posts: 2,098
      vpip: 14/ pfr:2/ af:0.8/ w$sd:25 /wtst:38 /Hands:99

      SB: $163.85 (163.9 bb)
      BB: $56.95 (57 bb)
      UTG+2: $100.95 (101 bb)
      MP1: $112.10 (112.1 bb)
      MP2: $103.50 (103.5 bb)
      MP3: $153.25 (153.3 bb)
      CO: $83.45 (83.5 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $18 (18 bb)

      Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with A :heart: J :diamond:
      4 folds, CO calls $1, Hero raises to $4.50, SB folds, BB calls $3.50, CO calls $3.50

      Flop: ($14) K :diamond: 3 :diamond: 8 :diamond:( 3 players)
      BB checks, CO bets $8, Hero raises to $13.50 and is all-in, BB folds, CO calls $5.50

      Turn: ($41) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($41) Q (2 players, 1 is all-in)
  • 1 reply
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey dchcxh,

      it's a pretty marginal push, but it's still a profitable one. You need here 34.6% equity and against the range I put villain on you have ~35%...

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 35,058% 33,520% 3,075% 63,404% AhJd
      Player 2: 64,942% 63,404% 3,075% 33,520% K8+, AK, Adxx, 4d5d, 5d6d, 6d7d, 33, 88

      ...if you don't like variance too much it's no mistake to fold here as the edge is so marginal, but also going broke according to the articles is fine. If you had AdJx then it would've been easy all-in.

      Regards,
      burek2000