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[NL2-NL10] NL2 Calling for Full House value on turn with implied odds

    • Huseens
      Huseens
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.07.2009 Posts: 709
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $3.79
      SB:
      $2.96
      BB:
      $0.94
      UTG2:
      $3.08
      MP1(Hero):
      $2.32
      MP2:
      $3.00
      MP3:
      $4.51
      CO:
      $1.03


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 5, 5.
      UTG2 folds, Hero calls $0.02, MP2 raises to $0.14, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.12.

      Flop: ($0.31) 5, 4, 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.24, MP2 calls $0.24.

      Turn: ($0.79) K (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.54, Hero calls $0.54.

      River: ($1.87) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.56, Hero folds, MP2 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $1.87.


      Can I call on turn? I made some calculations. Since he obviously has a flush he won't be folding it on the river no matter what card comes up. So I can use implied odds to call. I have 10 outs which gives me 1:3,6 odds, and my implied odds are 1:5. So I can call turn?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      Be careful with implied odds, just because he has a lot of money behind in his stack doesn't mean you automatically win it all when you hit a boat, so you can't count all of it as implied odds. If he knows what's he's doing he might check behind a flush or fold to a shove on a board pairing river, so you need to think a bit about how you plan to get the money out of him on the next street before calling the turn.

      That being said i think you only need him to put in another like $0.7 on the river to make that call, which sounds reasonable. He's probably not folding a flush to a less than 1/2 pot donk from you, even if the board pairs.


      Hope it helps.