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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, steal vs two tight blinds, 1 fish limper.FD/hitting,having a touch decision on paired river

    • justkyle88
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,613
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by
      strumf57: 79/0 147 Aggression: 44%

      I raised from BU because SB/BB are tight at 14/10 12/5 so I can get HU with the fish IP. Is 84s to loose?

      Flop: is an obvious conti-bet for me. Alot of the times he doesnt have a J and may call with a 6 so if I hit my 8 or FD I'm good.

      Turn: Bet because of FD, should I get bigger?

      River: should I just call because 4 card flush completes and I loss vs most villain flush cards + board is paired and villain seems to be value betting and pretty much telling me I am beat. Also, I am getting 3.8/1, is this correct odds to call?

      UTG alextoss95 ($18.80)
      UTG+1 strumf57 ($13.40)
      CO zorr01234 ($10.15)
      BTN Hero ($25.30)
      SB twin6140 ($18.40)
      BB Nimbus2010 ($10)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is BTN 8:heart: 4:heart:
      1 fold, strumf57 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, strumf57 calls $0.40

      Flop: J:spade: 6:heart: J:heart: ($1.15, 2 players)
      strumf57 checks, Hero bets $0.75, strumf57 calls $0.75

      Turn: 10:heart: ($2.65, 2 players)
      strumf57 checks, Hero bets $1.50, strumf57 calls $1.50

      River: 5:heart: ($5.65, 2 players)
      strumf57 bets $2, $2 to Hero ($22.55)?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I'd bet $2 on the turn. As played getting 3.8:1 on the river we need to be good a ridiculously low % of the time, and this guy seems erratic enough to randomly decide to blockbet Jx or to bluff with garbage in that spot, so we're unhappily calling.

      Hope it helps.