[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH steal vs TAG. River = CLUELESS!

    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,613
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      4 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      AMISTADE: 15/9 247
      W$SD: 54%


      Steal PF, both blinds are tight but BB is a reg and more than likely capable of 3-bet stealing. Is K7o to loose?

      Obvious conti-bet and I think turn bet is fine too. 2 isn't a scare card and I still have to protect.

      River: ????????

      Stacks:
      CO KINGTOUBIB ($2.30)
      BTN Hero ($33.50)
      SB FHstyles ($3.85)
      BB AMISTADE ($11.75)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 4 players) Hero is BTN 7:diamond: K:club:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, AMISTADE calls $0.20

      Flop: 7:spade: 2:diamond: 4:spade: ($0.65, 2 players)
      AMISTADE checks, Hero bets $0.40, AMISTADE calls $0.40

      Turn: 2:heart: ($1.45, 2 players)
      AMISTADE checks, Hero bets $0.90, AMISTADE calls $0.90

      River: 8:heart: ($3.25, 2 players)
      AMISTADE bets $2.50, $2.5 to Hero ($31.9)?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      Kaitz says you're ahead enough to call the river bet, i'm more skeptical. Your line doesn't look line you're folding any time soon so provided he's at all thinking about anything else than his own cards i think a 15/9 has something like 88-TT enough in that spot to warrant a fold, especially if he's aggressive with his draws which he should be, in which case he can't really be bluffing on that river.


      Hope it helps.