[NL2-NL10] NL 10 BSS - Folded JJ pre-flop

    • santostr
      santostr
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2009 Posts: 663
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      UTG1:
      $4.04
      UTG2:
      $16.03
      Hero:
      $10.25

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J:spade: , J:club:
      UTG1 raises to $0.20, UTG2 calls $0.20, Hero raises to $0.95, 6 folds, UTG1 raises to $4.04 (All-In), 2 folds, UTG1 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $2.25

      - Just 25 hands on the guy..
      - FT is teaching to min raise from UTG with high pairs...
      - I figured I was in a coin flip at best (Maybe TT, but it's unlikely right?...)

      What do you think? Correct fold?
  • 2 replies
    • santostr
      santostr
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2009 Posts: 663
      Well, looking at his stats again...
      48% vp$ip/20% PFR is very high, even with just 25 hands.

      Still not sure
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      I'm not 3betting JJ with the intention of folding it against a 40bb stack with 48/20 stats, minraise or not minraise. You're right that you're likely a coinflip at best, and yet with all that dead money, you're getting close to odds to call it off even against AK/QQ+. Don't forget to take that dead money into account, just because you're in a coinflip situation doesn't mean it's not correct to take it. Also bad players will show you insane stuff sometimes even in these spots that will more than make up for the few % equity we lack against this tight range.


      Hope it helps.