[NL20-NL50] AK facing turn donk bet

    • Fagin
      Joined: 06.05.2008 Posts: 544
      Played this last night and wondered if I could have played it better.

      Cassava Poker $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 481317
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      BTN: $16.28
      SB: $21.94
      BB: $31.25
      UTG: $20.74
      UTG+1: $18.25
      UTG+2: $27.95
      MP1: $25.73
      Hero (MP2): $15.33
      CO: $23.45

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is MP2 with K :diamond: A :spade:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.80, 3 folds, BB calls $0.60

      So far pretty standard - AK im MP2, raise and the bb flats - no problem so far.

      Flop: ($1.70) Q :diamond: 5 :heart: J :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

      I whiff the flop and when bb checks I c-bet a little over 1/2 pot, bb flats again.

      Turn: ($3.70) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $2.20, Hero ?????

      Turn blanks and bb bets out $2.20 ????
      For him to flat the pfr and the c-bet I have him on Qx, Jx, smal pp perhaps or maybe 2 :diamond: s.

      What should I do here? I can raise and hope he folds, but if he calls I face a decision on the river and with perhaps only 4 outs I will probably have only A high.
      If I call I face a similar decision on the river but in a slightly smaller pot.
      A fold seems the best option but there is the nagging feeling that he was playing me and had little to back it up!

      Any Ideas?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would call turn, since likely you have 7-10 outs and since villain could also be semibluffing with draw you can be ahead if he checks river
      Don´t think you have to raise, since you don´t likely have enough fold equity and folding also seems weak, so i like call
    • LePokerMonster
      Joined: 03.11.2008 Posts: 74
      with stats it would be easier to say but in this spot I think fold is just fine. If you have your 7-10 outs even then it's not profitable to call this bet. He will most likely have a Qx or Jx with a FD on the turn.