[NL20-NL50] NL50 FR BB floped nuts vs river shove

    • Gabinr1
      Gabinr1
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.04.2009 Posts: 7,755
      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $57.10
      MP2:
      $49.75
      MP3:
      $38.75
      CO:
      $114.30
      BU:
      $18.75
      SB:
      $62.55
      BB(Hero):
      $100.05
      UTG2:
      $79.20


      Preflop: Hero is BB with 5, 4.
      3 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 3 folds, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($1.25) A, 3, 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, MP3 calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($3.25) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, MP3 calls $3.00.

      River: ($9.25) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.00, MP3 raises to $34.25(All-In), Hero ???.


      Ok, What should I do? Call or fold? Why?
  • 1 reply
    • caltabiano
      caltabiano
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Hey!

      I'm calling this one. He doesn't have a full stack, so he's probably bad. And there aren't many flush combos he can have here. The flush combos will mainly be Ax, because these are the ones that call flop.
      If we consider that AJ+ is an oR pre-flop, that leaves us with A8, A7, A6, A5, A4. A2 will be raised on the flop probably. So that's 5 hands. He could easily have something like A9, AT or a slowplayed big hand like 22.

      So, since he really can't have the flush that often and since I expect he will be taking this line with other hands worse than ours, I call.

      Cheers