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[NL20-NL50] NL50 FR AA overpair - call river?

    • Gabinr1
      Joined: 05.04.2009 Posts: 7,755
      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A.
      UTG1 folds, UTG2 raises to $2.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $6.00, 3 folds, UTG2 calls $4.00.

      Flop: ($12.75) 5, J, 8 (2 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero bets $7.00, UTG2 calls $7.00.

      Turn: ($26.75) 4 (2 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($26.75) 2 (2 players)
      UTG2 bets $26.75, Hero??

      Could this be a bluff caused by my check behind Turn?

      Should I call or fold River?

      My line of thought: I don't know villain, I play RushPoker. We are both ~250BB deep. I chose to play for pot control. So I check behind turn to keep the pot small and induce a bluff. After the call on the flop the only hand I can beat is QQ and maybe TT from his range. Every other hand has got me by the balls. There are no draws so there is no need to protect.

      But the pot size bet on the river troubles me, if he would have bluffed wouldn't him want to bet a bit smaller?

      Another option is that he wanted to C/R Turn and now wants more value.

      EDIT: Or should I bet Turn - for a free showdown... and fold in case of a c/r or a donkbet river? (this would be less expensive than the pot-size call)
  • 2 replies
    • LePokerMonster
      Joined: 03.11.2008 Posts: 74
      I think bet turn to see if he is trying to check/raise you, if so than easy fold, otherwise bet river for value
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would b/f turn.
      i think he´d often call you with worse hands and then you can take your free showdown or if are willing to b/c, b/f or building a big pot for 250bb then you can also bet river and if he c/rai then decide if you want to call or not.
      Safer is check behind on the river
      Since you checked turn, then he can easily pot there QQ/KK (he would likely not 4-bet KK 250bb deep) and your hand looks a lot like JX, maybe TT that went for pot control.
      You´r beat sometimes but you beat 9T and some hands that he is potting for value, so imo you can´t fold