[NL20-NL50] nl50 AK TPTK in 3-bet pot 120 BB deep

    • tezapl
      tezapl
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2007 Posts: 777
      hi.
      Villain is 72/16/3 135 hands. He is very aggro but I didn't see him making big overbets. He usually call me and eventualy raises with air but not very big.

      I know general rule that in 3-bet pot we never folding TPTKs like this. But when I put ranges in poker stove I think that my play is -EV almost with 100BB stack.

      With my stack 120 BB I need 38% equity and assuming that villain shove with KJ but Im not sure if he is doing it I have 36 so its -EV.

      1. So is it a snap fold almost with 100 BB stack ??
      2. And what range do u put villain?

      code:
      Board: Kd 4d Qh Dead:    	
      equity 	win 	tie 	      pots won 	pots tied	 
      Hand 0: 	36.884%  	26.82% 	10.06% 	          7966 	     2988.50   { AcKc }
      Hand 1: 	63.116%  	53.05% 	10.06% 	         15757 	     2988.50   { QQ+, 44, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }


      Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Button ($80.14)
      SB ($78.03)
      Hero (BB) ($59.75)
      UTG ($85.93)
      MP ($42.30)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , K:club:
      UTG bets $1.75, MP calls $1.75, 2 folds, Hero raises $7, UTG calls $5.75, 1 fold

      Flop: ($17) K:diamond: , 4:diamond: , Q:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, UTG raises to $78.43 (All-In), Hero ??
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      He should have no reason to overbet shove flop with QQ/44 or maybe even KQ.
      I´d think he´d more likely to raise 25$ to induce shove from worse hands
      Since villain is 72/16 you can´t really give him on { QQ+, 44, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }
      More reasonable line is JT, AJ, flushdraws, a lot of Kx hands and even AQ; QJ
      Against that range you´re way ahead, so it is easy call on the flop