[NL2-NL10] NL25:donkbet on flop

    • Zeffke
      Zeffke
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

      SB: $10.21
      BB: $20.43
      UTG: $38.29
      UTG+1: $25.55
      MP1: $24.98
      MP2: $16.52
      MP3: $3.85
      Hero (CO): $24.65
      BTN: $24.25

      Preflop: Hero is dealt A J (9 Players)
      UTG calls $0.25, 4 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 2 folds

      Flop: ($4.25) 4 J 7 (3 Players)
      SB bets all-in for $8.96, 2 folds

      Pot Size: $13.21
      _____________________________________________________________
      - I can't call this, can I?
      - What is his holding you guys think? 44 77 ??
  • 5 replies
    • Puschkin81
      Puschkin81
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2006 Posts: 4,786
      Hi Zeffke!

      Honestly it looks like a flushdraw to me. Stats would be helpful here. But in general I tend to call this big overbet here. A shortstack (who doesn't seem to be a SSS player because his stack is too big) doesn't get too much respect from me. And bad players tend to play weak hands strong and strong hands weak so I would exclude 44 or 77 from his hand range.

      Good luck at the tables!
      Puschkin81
    • Zeffke
      Zeffke
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Don't have many stats of him

      Hands:14
      VPIP:12,50
      WON$WSF:66.67
      WSD:33.33
      WON$SD:100.0
      PFR:0
      AGGR.F:0.50

      Too less stats I would say to conclude something
    • Puschkin81
      Puschkin81
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2006 Posts: 4,786
      Yes...these stats are useless.
    • Grums2k
      Grums2k
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.07.2007 Posts: 28
      I was about to post that he could have QQ-AA but i have a hard time seeing the call from SB with that strong of a hand when UTG limped, a raise and a call from the button. I think Puschkin81 made the right assessment.
    • degnic
      degnic
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.02.2007 Posts: 3,953
      I've also seen some players playing like this with AA. but I'd still call because flushdraw with 1-2 overcards is also pretty likely :) On dry flop I'd fold.