[NL2-NL10] NL10 Q10s

    • Termis
      Termis
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.07.2007 Posts: 149
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP2:
      $12.27
      Hero:
      $10.69

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.70 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with Q:heart: , T:heart:
      MP1 folds, MP2 raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($0.75) A:heart: , Q:spade: , 4:heart: (2 players)
      MP2 bets $0.72, Hero raises to $2.16, MP2 calls $1.44.

      Turn: ($5.07) A:diamond: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($5.07) 9:spade: (2 players)
      MP2 bets $3.90, Hero folds.

      Final Pot: $8.97
  • 1 reply
    • caltabiano
      caltabiano
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Hey!

      This is an interesting hand. There are always many ways to play these big draws. If you're not sure how to play it, raising it and trying to get it in on the flop is never a bad play. As played, I like T and R

      However, on this specific hand, I'd just flat his cb on the flop, for the following reason:

      We have 2nd pair and it's a pretty invulnerable 2nd pair. If he doesn't have an A, the only hand that has real outs against us is Kx, so if he doesn't have us beat now, it's really hard for us to get sucked out. Therefore, we don't need to protect.
      We we raise here, we're obviously not folding to a 3b. We're rather shipping it over the top. However when that happens, we're gonna be facing AK at the very least. Here's our equity:

      Board: Ah Qs 4h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 40.437% 40.43% 00.01% 10407 1.50 { QhTh }
      Hand 1: 59.563% 59.56% 00.01% 15330 1.50 { AA, QQ, 44, AQs+, KhJh, AQo+ }

      So you can see it's really not that great. Sure it's a +EV move, since there's dead money in the pot and sometimes he just folds to our raise.

      But calling will be a lot more +EV, because we're only getting the money in against his range when we have him beat (i.e. when we hit out flush) and if we don't hit the turn, we're gonna get more informarion since we have position and we get to see his action. If he bets again we can most probably call for our outs. If he checks we're gonna have the best hand very often and we can just check back and get to the sd with 2nd pair. If by any chance he checks turn with a monster trying to go for a c/r, it backfires because then we;re gonna check it back and hit our flush just to teach him not to slowplay :evil:

      Cheers!