[NL2-NL10] Nl50 Jj

    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.25)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($53.56)
      Hero ($10.75)
      UTG+2 ($16.30)
      MP1 ($9.59)
      CO ($9.25)
      BTN ($10.50)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: J:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, MP1 calls $2, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.75) 4:club: K:club: 8:spade:

      Hero bets $3.50, MP1 calls $3.50

      TURN ($11.75) 4:club: K:club: 8:spade: 6:heart:

      Hero bets $5.25 (AI), MP1 calls $4.09 (AI)

      RIVER ($19.93) 4:club: K:club: 8:spade: 6:heart: Q:diamond:

      MP1 is 56/11

      Normally we stop betting after flop with a overcard, but I think I can value bet the turn aswell against this guy
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Tampaloeres81
      but I think I can value bet the turn aswell against this guy
      Ok, so against which range do you expect to get value from?
      You got more stats of Villain other than VPIP/PFR?

      Let me know!
    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Hi,

      I didnt have much stats on him but he was pretty loose....
      I expect him to call any pair but I find it difficult to put a loose player like this on a range. After the flop call his range could be:
      22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q8s, Q4s, J8s, T8s-T7s, 98s, 87s, A2o+, K2o+, Q8o, J8o, T8o, 98o

      The Equilator still gives me 55%
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I think you are being really ambitious and optimistic putting villain on such a range. For combinatorics sake, I will add 1 combo of some unlikely hands since 56/11 is the start value and from there it gets filtered down.

      That said I was thinking about this:
      44+,KJ-K5s,KJ-K7o,AQs of till A2s of ,5c6c,8c7c,8c9c,7c6c,Qc8c,Qd8d,Ac8d,Ac4d,AcTs


      Board: Kc 8s 6h 4c
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 57.224 % 56.894 % 0.659 % 42.447 % 44+, AQs-A2s, KJs-K5s, Kc4c, Qc8c, Qc4c, 9c8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 6c5c, 5c4c, 4c3c, AcTs, Ac8d, Ac4d, KJo-K7o
      Player 2: 42.776 % 42.447 % 0.659 % 56.894 % JsJc
      c
      So the shove is fine on such a drawheavy board but remember there are more combo's of Kx in his range than FDs