[NL2-NL10] TT UTG Short Handed

    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($32.95)
      BB ($51.80)
      Hero ($14.05)
      CO ($46.80)
      BTN ($50.35)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: T:club:

      Hero raises to $2, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4.25) 6:heart: 5:diamond: K:heart:

      BB bets $2, Hero calls $2

      TURN ($8.25) 6:heart: 5:diamond: K:heart: 8:spade:

      BB bets $5, Hero calls $5

      RIVER ($18.25) 6:heart: 5:diamond: K:heart: 8:spade: K:spade:

      BB bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.05 (AI)

      The guy bets at me for 3 streets. Should i have given up at any point?

      Villain is a maniac who plays 65/33 after 150 hands.

      I thought the flop bet signalled a flush draw.

      But the bigger bet on the turn, i was not too sure. This was the only point i really contemplated giving up.

      When the river came another K, i was quite sure he had no K, and the flush draw missed. So i felt i had to call there.
  • 4 replies
    • mineriva
      mineriva
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.04.2008 Posts: 913
      IMHO ship or fold the flop.
    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      i was considering shipping the flop but felt my stack was too big for it.

      still had $12 left and the pot was $6.x
    • mineriva
      mineriva
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.04.2008 Posts: 913
      If you ship he has to call $10.05 ($14.05 - $2 preflop - $2 he has bet)
      The pot will be $18.3($4.25+$2 his bet +$2 your call + $10.05 your raise)

      His potodds 1.8:1 which means if he has 9 outs (1.9:1) he will make a mistake to fold.

      Your stack is not to big. You forgot that $2 of your stack= amount you need to call so your push is $10 into an $8 pot.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I rather think about the amount of airballs, FDs and Kx(or hands that beat u) are in his range.

      I cannot give you a solid answer without aggression stats (AFq, AF, donkbet%)

      But the Turn is the crucial street to make a commitment decision. I think you cannot call on the Turn because there are many many cards you do not like to see on the river. Also you can possibly get value from draws if you jam.