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[NL2-NL10] SSS NL100 - 99, OESD flop vs donkbet

    • theperni
      theperni
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.08.2007 Posts: 4,346
      NL100 Holdem

      SB ($96.00)
      BB ($115.40)
      UTG ($205.18)
      UTG+1 ($124.68)
      MP1 ($99.00)
      MP2 ($29.38)
      MP3 ($68.30)
      CO ($199.00)
      BTN Hero ($18.50)

      Dealt to Hero 9 :club: 9 :diamond:

      1 folds, UTG+1 calls, 4 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, BB calls, UTG+1 calls

      FLOP ($14.00) 8 :spade: 7 :diamond: T :diamond:
      BB check, UTG+1 bets $14.00, Hero calls and is all-in, etc.

      BB 73/0/30hands
      UTG+1 11/2/AF0.5/AFq22/108hands

      During my review, I saw this hand: live I put him on set, FD or some combodraw; but, now I think that this player can hold only (strong) made hand.
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      A combo draw is unlikely since you hold 2 nines already and Q:dJ, 6:d5 have decreased chances and equity.

      Since this guy is a 11/2 and leads, I think you can go either way by calling his 2:1 with BDFD+2outs(probably)+Sd or folding 99

      If he has a set, you have 10 outs which makes the call +EV. if he has a FD, you are likely ahead 55/45

      - Gerv