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[NL20-NL50] NL25 Thin value bet OTR

    • elena90
      Joined: 26.12.2008 Posts: 23
      Everest Poker $0.15/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 555701
      The Official Hand History Converter

      BTN: $13.45
      SB: $17.88
      BB: $28.72
      UTG: $25.00
      MP: $28.10
      Hero (CO): $30.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.40) Hero is CO with K:spade: A:club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.90, 2 folds, BB calls $0.65

      Flop: ($1.95) T:heart: J:diamond: 8:club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.45, BB calls $1.45

      Turn: ($4.85) K:club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.60, BB calls $3.60

      River: ($12.05) 2:club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $6.80


      Hands 31, vpip 59, pfr 32, wtsd 8,3, AF 2,7 3bet 7

      Is my value bet too thin here? Would he even call with QJ, AJ, AT or QT type of hands? The only worse hand which would make sense and would almost always call is KQ. On the other hand, there are huge amount of strong hands (two pair and sets) that he slowplayed on the flop, but because the board turned to be pretty ugly for him he decided to just call me down.
  • 3 replies
    • wasy8
      Joined: 29.01.2009 Posts: 1,507
      yeah against an idiot playing 59/32 i probably value bet the river bigger. $8-9 ish
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I don't think this is a great spot for valuebetting the river, as you've mentioned the only worse hand that can call a 3rd barrel here is KQ, I doubt he will make hero-call with AJ, even though he's loose and spewy it appears he only takes his quality hands to showdown. Only reason I would be inclined to valubet here is if I've 3-barrelling with missed draws and air and villain has loosened his calling range on river.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      it depends a lot of your image and how often player is calling you down
      Mostly to me it is also easy valuebet, expect fish to c/r at some point with two pair or better hand