[NL2-NL10] NL5 AKs

    • STR82ACE
      Joined: 01.10.2008 Posts: 389
      I suspected a big hand from villain after his preflop raise. Not sure if a flop push is the best alternative

      Known players:

      0.02/0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with A:spade: , K:spade: . MP3 posts a blind of $0.05.
      Hero raises to $0.22, 6 folds, BB raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.48.

      Flop: ($1.47) 8:spade: , 4:spade: , 5:club: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.00, Hero??
  • 2 replies
    • Adapter1337
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 734
      I think here you fraid JJ-AA, AK.
      When he have AA - you have 9 outs to get nut straight, possible to that happening is approx 36%,a nd runner runner KKK
      When he had KK - You have 9 outs to get nut straight + 2 outs for AA, its 11 outs, its approx 44%
      When he have QQ or JJ, you have 9 out to get nut straight (if he don't had one spade, if he had, then 8 out) + 6 outs for higer pair, its 14-15outs, so approx 56-60%
      When he have AK, then 36% that you win and 64 to 50/50.
      And also here may be some spades. I dont pelive set here.
      I cant see te reason of fold? Only i can see resons for go all-in?

      Also here may be AJ, AQ what you beat allready.

      Oh im little bit tired, so i dont know for 100% that im right?
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Flop is an easy shove, he's so tight you might get him to fold his weaker overpairs on that board and you have too much equity against everything to realistically fold. If you just call and miss, and he shoves the turn, you're still going to get more than 2:1 on a call with the same number of outs and have a time finding a fold anyway.

      Hope it helps.