[NL2-NL10] ATo @ SB, possible loose isolation from CO

    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($17.70)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($23.35)
      UTG+1 ($116)
      UTG+2 ($89.21)
      MP1 ($20)
      MP2 ($100)
      MP3 ($73.34)
      CO ($117)
      BTN ($59.05)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: T:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $1, fold, fold, MP2 calls $1, fold, CO raises to $6, fold, Hero raises to $17.70 (AI),


      UTG+1 is 20/12 limp/fold 40%
      MP2 is 16/13 limp/fold 50%
      CO is 15/14 27% steal from CO, and 86% Fold To Resteal

      I am thinking because he steals so much, he much also isolate with a big range. Together with his high fold to resteal %, i will take down this pot preflop enough of the time to make it +EV.
  • 6 replies
    • drachdudek
      drachdudek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.11.2007 Posts: 656
      NH, would play the same and make a note on this hand...
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      first of all: I play BSS and never played SSS, so I'm big fish to that.

      First question: Why don't you reload to 20BB?
      CO seems to be TAG which means that he isolates most probably BUT I guess his range is kind of narrow, because he isolates two villains and there could be action behind him (2 short stackes in the blinds).

      I would tend to a fold, because against his calling range you don't run good AND I assume, that you don't have that much fold equity.
      As CO I'd call you with sth. like 77+, AK, AQ, maybe AJs.

      What did he have, if seen?
      Let's see what the judges think.

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      I reload at around 14-15BB.

      I'm assuming i have plenty of fold equity here, thats why this move can be profitable.

      Based on my quick calculations, assuming
      1. the two limpers go away, and
      2. villain folds 50%

      Using the formula
      Equity Needed = ((-(FEQ*Dead_Money)/(1-FEQ))+Stack_Left)/Final_Pot

      I will only need ~20% equity for this to be breakeven.

      If villain calls 66+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo (10% range). I can pretty much shove any two here.

      ATo has 36.7% equity btw.

      I hope my calculations are correct.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Use PFR Co stat and never éver the ATS Co stat for these kind of situations.

      So without PFR CO stat, I cannot make a proper judgement now. Since u got HEM, it is for your own interest to make a screenshot of the HEM popup so limitations of stats arent there ;)
    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      PFR is 14%

    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Thanks

      As you can see his PFR is at first quite unbalanced (15% EP versus 8% MP) but I also do not really see a significant increase at CO/BTN. Therefore we may/can say that he doesn't isolate that loose IP

      Though if you think all three players (esp isolator since he needs less money to invest) , I would go for it and jam for value with ATo. By default I jam AJ+ and sometimes KQsuited.

      - Gerv