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[NL2-NL10] monster draw AI

    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K, A.
      MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BB calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.85) 5, 3, 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.80, BB raises to $4.00, Hero raises to $9.60, BB calls $5.51.

      Turn: ($19.96) 4 (2 players)

      River: ($19.96) J (2 players)

      Final Pot: $19.96.

      opponent is known to be tight with low FPR and vpip. however i had a flush and high card draw. the high card draw may be useless since he may have 2 pair or better
  • 2 replies
    • supeyrio
      Joined: 11.11.2009 Posts: 3,106
      with such tight players calling down your bet in the blinds, i would expect him to have pocket pairs in his holdings, and we can safely exclude AA KK QQ, while more probable range would be JJ-22. he could also call down with AK but with a re-reraise, we can probably rule that out and with greater assurance that he has pocket pairs.
      as played, villian bet on flop after calling down your initiative preflop. this is a small signal of strength but it is not clear, so your reraise to verify the information is correct. when he re-raise your re-raise, we can confirm that he has a strong hand and at that point of time.
      as based on equilator, with our read of villian's range of JJ-22, we have an equity of around 50%. although against a flop set, we have an equity of around 32%, it would still have been +ev to put the money in, so good play.

      this is my humble opinion, to be re-evaluated by hand judges for confirmation! cheers
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Quite standard barring further reads. Sometimes he has a flushdraw too that he's bet/3betting with and that's great for us. Sometimes he is donking out for information with a middling overpair like 88 that usually can't really stand a big raise and even if he doesn't fold those we're flipping with them. I doubt this guy is donking out with bare overcards but it's possible too, making him fold tho isn't bad if he's aggressive we can't call down with AK-high unimproved. And of course he has sets in that spot, against which we still have 8 outs.

      Overall it greatly depends upon how you weight the different parts of his donking range. If he never leads with anything but sets you're better off calling, if he's always donking out for information with medium overpairs and/or air your line is best, and so on. As a default unless he's a setmining nit, raising and calling it off is standard. Make a note on his line no matter what he shows, it'll help in the future if you get into the same spot. If he shows a set and doesn't donk out next time he won't have a set, if he donks but bigger he might have draws/air more often than a monster, and so on.

      Hope it helps.