i know what ur saying. 40 cbet is nitty, so folding doesnt seem like a big mistake. but 33 hands doesnt seem much to me at all. maybe enough to tell fr VPIP/PFR that he's taggish, but not much more than that.
IF i am against unknown tags, with overpair on flop, i might call or even 3bet flop. conservatively i put him on AQ+ or pocketpairs which i expect him to play the way he did on such a dry board.
calling:
- i like floating against tags bec they often give up on turn unimproved and our hand actually has showdown value. plus we are IP and get to see wat he does on later streets.
3betting might be overplaying our hand a bit but serves me these purposes:
if he folds
- we win the hand right then. if ur afraid he has a big hand, imagine that it is the same for him. and it just sucks playing OOP.
if he calls
- might stop him betting turn/river allowing me cheap showdown if he has other pocketpairs or AK or sth
- if we hit T, we're getting paid
if he reraises, then its an easier fold for us. but i dont think he reraises with FD or overcards.
my two cents. probly being too fancy