[NL2-NL10] QA contibet and semi-bluff

    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3 (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, A.
      Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.9) 7, J, J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50.

      Turn: ($1.9) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB raises to $3.00, Hero calls $1.80.

      River: ($7.9) Q (2 players)
      SB bets $6.00(All-In), Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $7.9.
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Hard to say how many hands you get villain to actually fold on that turn without knowing the guy, but more often than not betting is fine. In the cases where villain is not afraid of a second bet and will call again with whatever he peeled the flop with, it's usually better to check it back so as not to get blown off our draw.

      When he takes a check/call check/raise line I think it's pretty clear he has Jx+ unless he's making a very ballsy semibluff, which I don't think he is. So we're getting 3.4:1 or so with $6 behind on a paired board and we have 8 outs at best, since we're sometimes drawing dead to 77/66 and the 7d is no good to us. We have very bad equity against a loosish range like 66-77/AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, you should just fold the turn.

      Hope it helps.