# Variance?

• Bronze
Joined: 10.11.2009
Is there a mathematical explanation why variance hits you hard resulting in a downswing and almost not at all other times when you are on an upswing?
I'm trying to figure it out since some time now but I just don't get it...

Maybe someone could help me a bit here?
• 4 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 13.12.2009
How can there be a mathematical explanation for thing like this? Its only in your brain. I think its more psychological.
• Bronze
Joined: 21.12.2009
Even when you are ahead, you are almost never ahead 100%, there are still some cards your opponent can catch and win that hand. It's just sometimes these losses come in a row and that's where a downswing comes. When you are running good, catching some cards yourself and winning pots where you are the favourite to win you just sometimes don't notice few suckouts as well as few solid wins when you are running bad.
Math is math and probability is probability - you can't avoid it. If there is 5% chance you can lose - it can happen and it WILL happen.
• Bronze
Joined: 02.07.2008
what do you think variance is
• Bronze
Joined: 19.06.2008
Originally posted by alejandrosh
what do you think variance is
+1