Variance?

    • pinnryder
      pinnryder
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.11.2009 Posts: 597
      Is there a mathematical explanation why variance hits you hard resulting in a downswing and almost not at all other times when you are on an upswing?
      I'm trying to figure it out since some time now but I just don't get it...

      Maybe someone could help me a bit here?
  • 4 replies
    • Jepons13
      Jepons13
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.12.2009 Posts: 43
      How can there be a mathematical explanation for thing like this? Its only in your brain. I think its more psychological.
    • Duudalinja
      Duudalinja
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      Even when you are ahead, you are almost never ahead 100%, there are still some cards your opponent can catch and win that hand. It's just sometimes these losses come in a row and that's where a downswing comes. When you are running good, catching some cards yourself and winning pots where you are the favourite to win you just sometimes don't notice few suckouts as well as few solid wins when you are running bad.
      Math is math and probability is probability - you can't avoid it. If there is 5% chance you can lose - it can happen and it WILL happen.
    • alejandrosh
      alejandrosh
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      what do you think variance is ?(
    • PocketAcesJohn
      PocketAcesJohn
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.06.2008 Posts: 1,116
      Originally posted by alejandrosh
      what do you think variance is ?(
      +1