[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH AJo BU steal vs 3bet

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,006
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with J, A.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB folds, BB raises to $4.75, Hero calls $3.25.

      Flop: ($9.75) 8, Q, 2 (2 players)
      BB bets $7.00, Hero calls $7.00.

      Turn: ($23.75) Q (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $14.00, BB folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $23.75.

      villain seems pretty tight with 13/10 after 31 hands. I take this either to mean that his 3bet shows strength or that he is a regular who knows to 3bet late position steals. I think it's okay to call since I'm in positionbut I guess folding is okay too.

      Once I am calling, I can't fold to the 'automatic' cbet, so that leaves calling orl raising the flop. I elected to call, repping the Q. After villain checks the scare card on the turn a smallish bet seems in order ( without reads I have no indication he is capable of check raising here).

      any other thoughts? Do I need more hands on a player to consider this kind of play?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      13/10 is quite tight and I think fold is better pf than call, since he has there often AQ+, JJ+ that all dominates your hand
      Although it is dry board I would prefer folding, since you are not really ahead his range and he would only c/f AK if you float flop and bet turn (or if he is really nitty then 99-JJ