[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH KK facing river shove on xxxxA

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $19.50
      MP2 (Hero):
      $20.00
      MP3:
      $22.50
      CO:
      $51.20
      BU:
      $21.60
      SB:
      $63.20


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, K.
      Hero raises to $1.50, 4 folds, BB calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($3.25) 6, 2, 8 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.00, BB calls $2.00.

      Turn: ($7.25) 4 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $5.00, BB calls $5.00.

      River: ($17.25) A (2 players)
      BB bets $11.00(All-In), Hero calls $11.00.

      Final Pot: $39.25.
      Results follow:

      Anyone think we can or should find a fold on the river? Villain has to have the worse hand 28% of the time for this to be a breakeven call. Somehow I don't think he's bluffing this often but on the other hand I can imagine 8x playing this way and hoping to get me off an overpair other than AA ( but maybe I'm being ambitious).

      thanks
  • 2 replies
    • DJG
      DJG
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.04.2008 Posts: 29
      I think a fold on the river is the correct play. otherwise nh
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      since you have 40bb then I would also call river
      he has there sometimes A6 or A8 but I think he can maybe also bluff quite high %, since it is though you to have there Ax hand yourself