[NL2-NL10] AJ fold to possible flush

    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A, J.
      MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.15) A, K, 2 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $1.15, Hero calls $1.15.

      Turn: ($3.45) 8 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($3.45) 8 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $3.45, Hero folds, MP3 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $3.45.

      opponent is known to be a bad fish with 75% VPIP and 35% FPR. should i have bet the turn? or called the river?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      No idea without further reads really, you could pretty much take every line in that hand depending on just how aggressive/bluff villain is, ranging from the line you took to something like raising the flop to induce a jam from any heart and random crap, with a call flop bet/call turn in-between.

      The problem on the river is that he's certainly capable of doing that with 2-high flush and that would somewhat fit the betting, so would a bluff from a guy who just can't stop himself when you show weakness.

      Mostly it's a question of gathering useful reads instead of just relying on stats, if you had watched him play you'd have more insights concerning his tendencies. As it is without even the timing of his river bet, I really can't say so I would fold most likely.

      Hope it helps.