[NL2-NL10] folding to river big bet with top pair

    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $0.00
      SB:
      $10.00
      BB:
      $7.03
      CO (Hero):
      $10.00


      Preflop: Hero is CO with J, K.
      Hero raises to $0.40, SB folds, BB calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.85) 7, 6, J (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40.

      Turn: ($1.65) 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.10, BB calls $1.10.

      River: ($3.85) 9 (2 players)
      BB bets $5.13, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $3.85.

      he called oop, would 8 have been in his range? was it clear that i was beat? he was slightly loose.
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      Bet more on the flop for value, $0.65-$0.70 looks better. Jx will call, 7x will call, 6x most likely will call too, 98 will call, 54 will call.. Just bomb it.

      As played on the turn it's fine, some hands improved to beat you like 98 and 65, but a lot of hands improved just enough to call another bet from you, like 87/54 stuff that picked up a pair+draw hand. Jx is calling another bet as well. Anything from $1.1 to $1.3 looks good.

      Knowing that on the river, it's pretty clear he can have 8x as well as some two pair hands. Not many people play Jx like that except maybe J9, AJ beats you too anyway. So he has some made hands in his range that smoke you. The other important point is it's really hard for him to bluffing. Virtually everything marginal he peeled the flop with somehow improved to beat you, and the few hands that didn't should have a pair that they would be willing to go to showdown with instead of bluffing. That usually requires a good thinking villain or a completely spazzy one, he doesn't really look like either of those so far. I like your fold.


      Hope it helps.