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[NL20-NL50] NL 25, 6-max, /cc QQ BU, wet F

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $23.94
      CO:
      $27.13
      BU (Hero):
      $25.00
      SB:
      $26.61
      BB:
      $36.85
      MP2:
      $25.00


      Preflop: Hero is BU with Q, Q.
      MP2 raises to $1.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($2.35) 5, J, 9 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5.00, MP2 raises to $17.00, Hero ?


      Villain's stats:
      Hands: 297
      VPIP: 22 (EP - 12)
      PFR: 17
      CBET: 92
      Agr: 7.3
      WTSD: 13%
      W$SD: 80%


      I very rarely call QQ here. (But at these stakes no real need to do this).

      I thought, it was very close to 50/50 here.
      After equations I find myself here:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 41.984 % 40.831 % 2.308 % 56.862 % QdQc
      Player 2: 58.016 % 56.862 % 2.308 % 40.831 % 99+, 55, AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, KhQh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, AJo


      What would you do? Play for stacks or not? My equations OK?


      EDIT:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 34.154 % 34.103 % 0.102 % 65.795 % QdQc
      Player 2: 65.846 % 65.795 % 0.102 % 34.103 % KK+, JJ, 99, 55, AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, KhQh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, AJo

      I forgot to remove TT and QQ. Here is only 34 % equity for QQ.
  • 2 replies