[NL20-NL50] NL 25, 6-max, JJ, overpair

    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (4 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J, J.
      Hero raises to $1.00, BU calls $1.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($2.35) 4, 2, 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, BU calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($5.35) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, BU raises to $8.00, Hero calls $5.00.

      River: ($21.35) 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $16.66(All-In), Hero calls $16.66.

      Villain's stats:
      Hands: 231
      VPIP: 15
      PFR: 13
      3bet: 4.3
      Fold-CBET: 75
      Agr: 8.5
      WTSD: 17%
      W$SD: 40%

      PF - OK.
      F - OK.
      T - Villain is just 3betting about JJ+, AQs+, AKo PF (from stats written above).
      So, no over-pair on the T.
      And I also don't put him on a 9x very often here, if so, it is a cooler.
      As he is so aggressive (= 8.5), I see him bluffing here with AQ, AJ, 55-88, TT,
      value-betting boats (44, 22) ofc.
      That is why I rope-a-dope and just call his raise, then evaluate on the R.
      R - Actually I'm not a very big fan of calling here,
      but taking into acount Villain's aggression, I think it is a call.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Most of the players won´t bluffraise turn hands that has showdown value, meaning like 55-88
      So I think he mostly has there set or maybe complete float that he decides to turn into bluff, but since there are no draws on the board I think he mostly has the hand there.
      So I´d prefer b/f turn, since don´t think he´d make too many moves on that turn card