[NL2-NL10] NL100 Fold KK?

    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $1(BB)
      SB ($19)
      BB ($17)
      UTG ($14.55)
      UTG+1 ($16)
      UTG+2 ($35)
      MP1 ($43.20)
      Hero ($31.70)
      BTN ($51)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: K:club:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $3, fold, Hero raises to $9, BTN raises to $51 (AI), fold, fold, UTG+2 calls $32 (AI), fold

      FLOP ($80.50) A:diamond: T:heart: K:diamond:

      TURN ($80.50) A:diamond: T:heart: K:diamond: T:spade:

      RIVER ($80.50) A:diamond: T:heart: K:diamond: T:spade: A:club:

      UTG+2 shows K:heart: A:heart:
      (Pre 46%, Flop 79.3%, Turn 86.4%)

      BTN shows Q:spade: Q:club:
      (Pre 54%, Flop 20.7%, Turn 13.6%)

      UTG+2 wins $77.50

      Can we call with raise/3-bet/4-bet AI + UTG caller?

      Both players rather tight around 9/7 with 500 hands
      both 3-bets 6%, no 4bets until now.

      I expect to see here AA a gazillion times or must we always call?
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      You need 19.7% and against this for example
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 25.233% 21.44% 03.79% 37027592 6553751.33 { KcKs }
      Hand 1: 36.278% 32.47% 03.81% 56075814 6582554.33 { QQ+, AKs }
      Hand 2: 38.488% 34.69% 03.80% 59915010 6560282.33 { QQ+ }
      You see that you are +EV
      Guess I never fold KK here when playing SSp ;)

      - Gerv