[NL20-NL50] NL25 KJo vs turn check/shove

    • elena90
      Joined: 26.12.2008 Posts: 23
      Everest Poker $0.15/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 634790
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      SB: $63.60
      BB: $45.70
      Hero (UTG): $35.15
      CO: $126.85
      BTN: $38.90

      Pre Flop: ($0.40) Hero is UTG with J:spade: K:diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.90, 3 folds, BB calls $0.65

      Flop: ($1.95) K:spade: Q:diamond: J:diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.75, Hero raises to $5.50, BB calls $3.75

      Turn: ($12.95) 4:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $9.50, BB raises to $39.30 all in


      Hands 80, vpip 23, pfr 21, 3bet 17, AF 4

      We had played a couple of 3bet and 4bet battles with the villain.

      I guess preflop and flop is pretty standard apart from my bet sizing. Should I just raise the pot OTF to get maximum value from his draws? Villain is definitely regular and a good player so he could notice if I raise less with my bluffs and pot with my good hands on this board. But on the other hand my raise is rarely pure bluff in this situation.

      On the turn it gets super ugly. Due to our frequent 3bet history I think he never has a set and rarely a straight (would be super tricky to play to straight like this: so many bad cards may come OTT). I think he most likely holds 2 pair here and against that range (KQ, KJ, QJ) I have 50% equity (I need about 33%) so it is easy call? And if his range also includes flush draws and pair+OESD combos the call is super easy. Is this spot as ugly as it first seemed to me and should I even consider folding here?
      The main factor that made me think about folding was that on Everest turn check/rai is 90% of the time the nuts.
  • 3 replies