[NL20-NL50] NL50 spewy squeeze?

    • elena90
      Joined: 26.12.2008 Posts: 23
      Everest Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 649913
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      CO: $29.37
      BTN: $57.80
      SB: $51.30
      Hero (BB): $160.40
      UTG: $52.98

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 4:diamond: 5:club:
      UTG raises to $1.75, 2 folds, SB calls $1.50, Hero raises to $7.00, UTG calls $5.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($15.75) J:heart: 5:spade: 6:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.00, UTG calls $8

      Turn: ($31.75) 2:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $15.50, UTG calls $15.50

      River: ($62.75) 2:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      UTG was kind of nitty. Vpip 20, pfr 10, AF 1,7, fold to 3bet 78%, hands 393
      Sb vpip 19 and folded to every 3bet so far.

      I wasn't too active at that table and didn't squeeze at all before this hand. I guess the fold equity must be massive in this spot so I can basically do it with any two? Although 10% pfr is very low...

      I think the flop is pretty ok for me. I guess villain would 4bet QQ+ and maybe AKs. Not sure what he would flat like this but I guess it could be something like 88-JJ and AK/AQ and I don't think AJ is in his range. With that range the second barrel will fold everything else than slowplayed JJ+ and the turn brings me also additional outs. So it should be +EV, right?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think UTG is too tight to squeeze there with 45o
      Postflop is likely fine. He should often fold turn and with your 20% equity I think it is also fine to shove, since you´re at aquard spot if he shoves over your turn bet