[NL2-NL10] over pair calling river bet

    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3 (Hero):
      $10.27
      CO:
      $12.16
      BU:
      $7.14
      SB:
      $5.00
      BB:
      $3.95
      UTG2:
      $10.00
      MP1:
      $10.62
      MP2:
      $16.70


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, J.
      2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.25, Hero raises to $0.90, CO folds, BU calls $0.90, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.65.

      Flop: ($2.85) 5, 8, 5 (3 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.70, BU folds, MP2 calls $1.70.

      Turn: ($6.25) 3 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($6.25) 9 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50.

      Final Pot: $11.25.


      should i have bet the turn? that way i would make the pot a little too big for my hand?

      could i have folded that river bet? are there enough worse hands that could make a bet in that position?
  • 3 replies
    • supeyrio
      supeyrio
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.11.2009 Posts: 3,106
      Lol, Im gg all in asap, makes no sense to 3bet, n then get scared to ship it in with ur flop n holdings. If u dont dare to ship such boards, what boards then u go all in? When u hit the j?? Then u should 3bet every other pp n hope to hit set. I really dont like the way u check the turn n bet on he river whem flush completes.
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      pushing the turn is the way... fishes will pay u off with fd, overpairs and sometimes even with AQ+ often enough to make this move +ev...
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,

      Originally posted by Gregor86
      pushing the turn is the way... fishes will pay u off with fd, overpairs and sometimes even with AQ+ often enough to make this move +ev...
      This. That's basically the worst card in the deck on the river since he boats up 99, and make both the 76 straight and all heart flushes. If you're going to call a bet on the worst river card ever against villain's betting range, you're clearly better off betting the blank turn card instead to get value out of his check/calling range which is going to be much weaker.

      One small concern tho, if MP2 is a tag it's possible that he sometimes does not 4-bet KK+ to keep BU in the pot, even if most of the time he'll end up raising your flop c-bet with those hands. Probably not that relevant here, but something to keep in mind.


      Hope it helps.