[NL2-NL10] Q9s NL5Rush TP would a river shove bluff be +EV

    • overson
      overson
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.04.2008 Posts: 195
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $6.22
      MP3 (Hero):
      $16.85
      CO:
      $17.99
      BU:
      $3.84
      SB:
      $5.27
      BB:
      $2.09


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, 9.
      MP2 calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.05, CO raises to $0.27, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.22, Hero calls $0.22.

      Flop: ($0.88) Q, T, 3 (3 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.25, MP2 folds, Hero calls $0.25.

      Turn: ($1.38) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70.

      River: ($2.78) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks.

      Final Pot: $2.78.

      Results follow:

      CO shows a straight, ace high(Ad Ks).
      Hero shows a pair of queens(Qh 9h).

      CO wins with a straight, ace high(Ad Ks).
  • 1 reply
    • caltabiano
      caltabiano
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Hey! 1st of all: don't limp :evil:

      Post flop: I'd donk bet this board, as I don't expect pfa to be cbetting a whole lot and we need to extract/protect.

      You're asking about a bluff shove: you wanna shove $15 into $2.78? :D That's too big of an overbet IMO and I can garantee you it's not +EV. Besies, what do you want to bluff him off? We're ahead of quite a few hands and trying to bluff someone off TP+ in NL5 would be pretty suicidal :D

      I'd just bet the river again, something like 1/2 pot, as CO has shown a lot of weakness and I doubt he has a better hand than ours.

      Cheers