[NL2-NL10] FR BSS NL50 (5) 2TP against tilt bet

• Bronze
Joined: 19.04.2006
i dont know if i should have called. the only read i had on the big villain was that he had lost 2 hands in a row and dropped from \$250 to his current chipstack. i called because i thought he was tilting. how often im i behind against a set?
villains preflop raise is almost zero but he is very agressive on turn and river (over 8).
i know i should have raised flop to something between \$12 and \$15

BB (\$25.70)
UTG (\$48.75)
MP1 (\$26.76)
MP2 (\$20)
Hero (\$208.88)
Button (\$19.50)
SB (\$99.50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with , .
UTG calls \$0.50, MP1 calls \$0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to \$2, 1 fold, SB calls \$1.75, 1 fold, UTG calls \$1.50, MP1 calls \$1.50.

Flop: (\$8.50) , , (4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, MP1 bets \$3.8, Hero raises to \$9.1, SB calls \$9.10, UTG folds, MP1 calls \$5.30.

Turn: (\$35.80) (3 players)
SB bets \$82, MP1 calls \$15.66 (All-In), Hero calls \$82.

River: (\$76.38) (3 players, 1 all-in)
SB bets 6.40 , Hero calls \$6.40.

Final Pot: \$221.86
• 3 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 14.04.2006
Hi boschmann123!

Yes you are right. You should have raised more on the flop (~\$15). On the turn it's an easy all-in. If you are up against a set: so be it. But more often you will see flushdraws and weaker two pairs.

Good luck at the tables!
Puschkin81
• Bronze
Joined: 19.04.2006
villain had indeed a busted draw. but my question is, is there a general thumb how often im behind against a set?
• Bronze
Joined: 14.04.2006
I don't know such a rule. The only rule I know concerning sets is: If you have a pocket pair you hit a set or better in 11.8% of the cases. So if you assume that your opponent always has a pocket pair if he plays like that, you have the best hand in 88.2% of the cases. But obviously that's way too simple. Anybody else knowing such a rule?

Good luck at the tables!
Puschkin81