[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Kq Tp2K

    • Duudalinja
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($10.94)
      UTG+1 ($8.66)
      Hero ($12.24)
      BTN ($5.97)
      SB ($18.69)
      BB ($4.70)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is CO K:heart: Q:spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, 1 fold, SB calls $0.30, 1 fold

      Flop: K:club: 6:diamond: 4:spade: ($0.80, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60

      Turn: 5:spade: ($2, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.30, SB raises to $3, Hero folds

      Opp: 18/12/2.2 (vpip, pfr, af) over 700 hands

      Strange situation.

      Pre: Default.

      Flop: cbet, default.

      Turn: Now, here starts the strange part. Assuming he's more or less regular and he knows what's position he wouldn't call me with total trash hands.
      At this point I can't see many hands he could raise me with. AK - should 3bet (even with his 2.5% 3bet stat). I can see only 78 raising me there, but that's really just few hands from his range...

  • 1 reply
    • caltabiano
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992

      It's gonna depend on what kind of a player he is. He seems fairly tight.

      87 is definitely not the only hand he could have
      66, 65, 44, 55 are possible as well. So that adds up to a bunch of combos. Considering he only plays the suited versions of 87 and 65, he can have:

      3x3 combos for sets
      2 combos for 65
      4 combos of 87

      For a total of 15 combos.

      Against a generally tight player, I think you can fold this, even though you get great odds. The fact that he makes it so small makes it look even more like he has a big hand.
      There aren't many hands that he c/c flop and now turns it into a bluff. Most hands he called flop have showdown value. Also, when you barrel this card, it looks like you really have something, since it's not a good card to double barrel on and that makes it even less likely he's bluffing.

      You can safely fold =)