[NL2-NL10] NL1K AQ vs fish.

    • undercover82
      Joined: 09.12.2006 Posts: 813
      Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)       

      5/10 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.8 by www.pokerstrategy.cc.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q:club: , A:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $40.00, 3 folds, BU calls $40.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($95.00) 2:diamond: , J:spade: , 2:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $110 (All-In), BU calls $110.00.

      Turn: ($315.00) 3:spade:
      River: ($315.00) K:spade:

      Final Pot: $315.00

      Flop action vs the very loose guy?
  • 3 replies
    • Nunki
      Joined: 25.10.2006 Posts: 865
      If villain's calling range is wide enough then NH. If villain's betting range (if checked to) is wider then c/AI is better especially with a flop this dry. Villain has an auto-call here given your likely range(AQ+,99+) even if he holds a small PP.

      A tough hand. Could it be made less tough by raising less or just open-shoving?

      Over 1/4 of your stack in PF makes for difficult play later.

      BTW Uc, what is your VP$IP at NL1K?
    • Berliner1982
      Joined: 12.07.2006 Posts: 5,644
      First whats your situation:
      You have 2 Overcards with I think 6 clean outs.
      You have a backdoor straight and backdoor 3rd Nutflushdraw what gives you one more out.

      The question is, what would he call here on this flop?
      I think he would call a 2, a Jack, any pocketpair and Overcards like AQ, AT, A9, KQ, KT, K9, QT here.

      So if he would call in 40% or more of the times with only Overcards, I say your push is correct, since you´re ahead and do not have to improve your hand if he doesn´t himself. And if you´re against a Pair you have some Outs. But you do not have so much fold equity since he sees the showdown 50% of the time.

      So decide here with your reads. If he more calls only with pairs, more tend to fold, otherwise I like it.
    • undercover82
      Joined: 09.12.2006 Posts: 813
      my VPIP was 8.5% over 5k hands