[NL20-NL50] fold top set?

    • fun101rockets
      fun101rockets
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.06.2008 Posts: 1,162
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $12.93
      BU:
      $25.97
      SB:
      $34.65
      BB:
      $83.01
      UTG1:
      $63.10
      UTG2 (Hero):
      $25.00
      MP1:
      $24.65
      MP2:
      $26.15
      MP3:
      $17.78


      Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with A, A.
      UTG1 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 6 folds, BB calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($1.6) 9, J, A (2 players)
      BB bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, BB calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($6.1) 2 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.25, Hero raises to $5.04, BB raises to $21.22, Hero raises to $22.00, BB calls $0.78.

      River: ($50.1) 9 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $50.1.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows a full-house, aces full of nines(A A).
      BB shows a flush, ace high(6 3).

      Hero wins with a full-house, aces full of nines(A A).

      I know u guys r gonna say 'if he had beat u, it would of been a standard cooler" but his line looks so much like a flush, i think maybe i could get away from it. Then again against a flush i still have 18% equity.
  • 4 replies
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      Well if u do suspect hi hit, he is giving u great odds(18% and u have more than 20% eq) to just call turn and reevaluate the river.
    • caltabiano
      caltabiano
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Hey!

      I like a bigger raise on the flop. He bet so small that I would raise it bigger than 3x. Probably something a bit closer to pot, like $3,25 - $3,5.

      On the turn, I'd raise it, but I'd make it a bit bigger again, like $8 - $9.

      I wouldn't fold to a push though. You need 30% equity to call and, even though you don't have that, I don't think he'll always show up with a flush. So, I'd go for the call.
      Even if this call is a mistake, it's not a big mistake, because you still have very good equity. However, if he shows up with AJ, A9, JJ, 99, J9, A2, A :club: T :diamond: , it'd be a HUGE mistake to fold.

      So, I like your play (except that I'd raise bigger)

      nh!

      Cheers!
    • fun101rockets
      fun101rockets
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.06.2008 Posts: 1,162
      as played would u fold 99? (in my position)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      99 and AA is basically the same
      expect with 99 you can also have there flushdraw with set that would increase your equity against lower flushes
      So I think you can´t also fold there 99