Downswing or slow painful death?

    • jbpatzer
      jbpatzer
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2009 Posts: 6,947
      Can't decide whether this is a big heater followed by being a losing player, or a downswing?
      This is from 12-tabling $3.40 turbo SnGs on Pokerstars.
      Just variance? Too small a sample size?
  • 5 replies
    • csnmf
      csnmf
      Global
      Joined: 22.11.2006 Posts: 444
      sample size too small could be a downswing could be a slow painful death.
    • jbpatzer
      jbpatzer
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2009 Posts: 6,947
      Originally posted by csnmf
      sample size too small could be a downswing could be a slow painful death.
      That's reassuring. How big a sample size do you reckon I need?
    • Hahaownedlolz
      Hahaownedlolz
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.04.2009 Posts: 1,755
      Originally posted by jbpatzer
      Originally posted by csnmf
      sample size too small could be a downswing could be a slow painful death.
      That's reassuring. How big a sample size do you reckon I need?

      I saw a post on 2+2 how someone lost money even in a 1k sng sample size.. while he was a winning player. 500 sng's isn't that much if your 12 tabling and they are turbo's. 1k would be a good indication or 2k would be even better.
    • mishkagg
      mishkagg
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2008 Posts: 1,354
      Originally posted by jbpatzer
      Originally posted by csnmf
      sample size too small could be a downswing could be a slow painful death.
      That's reassuring. How big a sample size do you reckon I need?
      2000 tourneys on a given limit to determine the real RoI. More would be better, of course!
    • lessthanthreee
      lessthanthreee
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.06.2009 Posts: 16,300
      ur running at 7% over that sample.

      obviously you went on a huge heater and now u are just reverting back to the mean.

      be happy with your awesome roi. nh wp