[NL2-NL10] NL10 - 44 set, facing checkraise on river

    • Genkidesuka
      Genkidesuka
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.11.2009 Posts: 104
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $2.80
      CO:
      $17.50
      BU:
      $10.96
      SB:
      $12.10
      BB:
      $10.30
      UTG2:
      $15.84
      MP1:
      $4.85
      MP2 (Hero):
      $19.81


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 4, 4.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.9) Q, 2, 4 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50.

      Turn: ($1.9) 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20.

      River: ($4.3) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.40, SB raises to $7.00, Hero calls $4.60.

      3 isn't likely to be in his range, but even then set over set seems likely, can I get away, or is this a fistpump shove?
  • 2 replies
    • captainmono
      captainmono
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 6
      By the river it looks like 55 or 66 which is definitely in his range. And to be calling the flop and turn, he has to have one of those hands. He would raise on previous streets with overpair. It's either 55 66 or air.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      Villain can't have air unless he's completely insane. He check/called both flop and turn out of position he has to have something that connects with that board somewhat. 66/55 make sense, Qx as well of course, and then any random low connected hand like A2/43 and the likes that picked up a piece on the flop and improved on the turn if he's loose enough to have them.

      The point is, to be bluffing there he needs to be turning a made hand into a bluff. And that's just something a lot of players aren't capable of at microstakes unless they're spazzy fish. I think if villain is loose preflop you can fold more easily become of him having a bunch of 3x hands. If he's a tag it's dicey since he could play 22 like that as well, if you think he wouldn't raise 22 on the river because of the 4-straight on board you can likely find a fold as well.


      Hope it helps.