[NL20-NL50] against set?

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $61.32
      MP3:
      $53.75
      CO:
      $50.00
      BU:
      $51.25
      SB:
      $50.00
      BB (Hero):
      $48.50


      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, A.
      MP2 calls $0.50, 2 folds, BU calls $0.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.50, MP2 calls $2.00, BU calls $2.00.

      Flop: ($7.75) 4, 7, J (3 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, MP2 calls $4.50, BU folds.

      Turn: ($16.75) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $8.37, Hero calls $8.37.

      River: ($33.49) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $12.00, Hero folds, MP2 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $33.49.

      No reads on Villain.
      I put him on small PP straight away because of his limp call.
      Which means that I'm really not happy to see him calling on the flop, I suspect he has a set and decide to check fold on the turn.
      The ace comes so i check and decide to call.
      On the river I'm pretty sure he has a set a try to get some value so I fold...

      Any thoughts? Should have I folded on the turn straight away suspecting he made a set.
  • 3 replies
    • Gabinr1
      Gabinr1
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.04.2009 Posts: 7,755
      Bet Turn. If he raises you know he has the set. C/C an ok bet on the River.


      With your postflop line, I would call river. You don't know villain so he could also have JQ, 56. You beat this hands. Call and note him.
    • N0pr3s3n7
      N0pr3s3n7
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,284
      Originally posted by Gabinr1
      Bet Turn. If he raises you know he has the set. C/C an ok bet on the River.


      With your postflop line, I would call river. You don't know villain so he could also have JQ, 56. You beat this hands. Call and note him.
      Indeed , if you check the turn no way you can say : "hey he got set 100%". He can think you are scared of the Ace and got something like QQ,KK,JQ,KJ (no matter what) and after you call the turn there is no way he doesn't bet the river with any 2 cards again.


      So definitely a call on river, unless you got any strong reads on him
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you can´t fold river, since he is bluffing there often enough after you checked turn and river and easily valuebetting any Ax hand
      players doesn´t have set 100% if they c/c pf. You see them c/c with quite wide range starting with suited connectors and ending suited Ax hands