[NL2-NL10] AK nl10 tricky spot

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Napisane przez 0rdon
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Graj rękę

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $14.37
      CO:
      $10.30
      BU:
      $12.21
      SB:
      $14.59
      BB (Hero):
      $10.29


      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A.
      2 folds, BU raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.35, Hero raises to $1.80, BU folds, SB calls $1.40.

      Flop: ($4) J, Q, A (2 players)
      SB bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00.

      Turn: ($10) 2 (2 players)
      SB bets $6.00, Hero calls $5.49.

      River: ($21.49) 2 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $21.49.



      VPIP/PFR 11/10
      Ft3b 75%
      Aqq 33%

      this no my hand but is very hard to play and i am interesing what you thinks this hand.

      PRF: This is very strange if he calls AA, QQ, JJ, and if he calls KT he must call QJ, AJ, AQ, KQ, JT suited so

      Flop: donksbet usually this is TP, pairs, sometimes draws but this flop i thinks all hands strong, draws donkbet here becosue is a lot combinatoions hand which hits flop

      but if he have KT he plays the same way QJ, AJ, AQ, sometimes KQ, KJ. so

      Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
      Gracz 1: 29,470% 27,212% 4,515% 68,273% AhKc
      Gracz 2: 70,530% 68,273% 4,515% 27,212% AQs-AJs, KTs, QJs

      i thinks this is very propable range this situation.

      optymistic range


      Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
      Gracz 1: 57,569% 54,904% 5,331% 39,766% AhKc
      Gracz 2: 42,431% 39,766% 5,331% 54,904% AQs-ATs, KTs+, QTs+, JTs

      pessimistic range

      Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
      Gracz 1: 25,540% 23,920% 3,239% 72,841% AhKc
      Gracz 2: 74,460% 72,841% 3,239% 23,920% QQ-JJ, AQs-AJs, KTs, QJs


      so i prefer calls flop and see turn.

      Turn: is very good cards for me so i dont fold here.
  • 2 replies
    • letmewinplz8
      letmewinplz8
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2010 Posts: 439
      You have Ah - so instantly less draw combinations that would donk - usually these would contain NFD which you block to.

      Only hands which are beating are TT and chopping with AK that (maybe) play this way - although unlikely. Rest of time you are in horrible shape against twopair through to sets (straight unlikely given preflop).

      Very unlikely to be a bluff on this board and imo equity against range is pretty horrible so I would just fold on the flop - even if I hate myself for doing it.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,

      Originally posted by letmewinplz8
      You have Ah - so instantly less draw combinations that would donk - usually these would contain NFD which you block to.

      Only hands which are beating are TT and chopping with AK that (maybe) play this way - although unlikely. Rest of time you are in horrible shape against twopair through to sets (straight unlikely given preflop).

      Very unlikely to be a bluff on this board and imo equity against range is pretty horrible so I would just fold on the flop - even if I hate myself for doing it.
      Agreed. Tough folds aren't tough when they're right. 11/10 can perfectly play stuff like JJ/AQ that way they don't have to 3-bet those preflop, hell he might even show up with QQ sometimes. Unless his stats are totally misleading we're so rarely ahead after he donks out 3/4 on that flop that's it's not worth pursuing against that guy imo.


      Hope it helps.